Understanding the Sahm Rule: Your Early Warning System for Unemployment 🚨📉 Ever wondered how economists predict recessions and unemployment spikes? The Sahm Rule, named after economist Claudia Sahm, is a powerful tool they use. 📊 **What is the Sahm Rule?** It’s simple: the Sahm Rule flags a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more relative to its low over the previous 12 months. **Why does it matter?** When the Sahm Rule is triggered, it’

The Sahm rule isn't always right - but why? Let's go back to 1967... #sahmrule #globaleconomy #unemploymentrate | Capital.com International